Wyoming Report Exposes That The MSM ‘Expert’ Pollsters Are Getting Are Getting The Midterms Wrong

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Rich Baris wrote an excellent piece on the People’s Pundit exposing the polls surrounding the Wyoming Primary poll done by the “experts.”

“First, notice that the unweighted sample for 18-24 is N=53, or just 6.3%. However, they weighted UP to nearly double at 11.5% to attempt to compensate for falling considerably shy of the 12.0% benchmark,” wrote Baris explaining how the MSM pollsters tried to weigh the polls.

That was just one variable, he also found that the MSM misrepresented the vote preference for independents. Now, MSM pollsters might argue that they used 2020 independent data preferences for their polling, which is still a bad sign for Democrats. No matter how they swing it, they got it wrong and independents have shift hard right.

Baris points out that the MSM polls showing the primary would be close were heavily weighted for gender, age, and county.

“I’m willing to bet their weighting efficiency is in the 80s, and that is not good. While gender was lightly weighted and unlikely to significantly impact efficiency, Albany County was weighted up nearly two-fold and Laramie County was the only large county to be weighted down,” Baris added. “Coupled with the heavy weights on age, I’d be concerned about a big miss if I released this poll.”

In the end, Cheyney didn’t even hit the threshold of 30%.

Folks, if the “experts” are weighting polls like this in Wyoming, they are doing it elsewhere.

We’ve already seen evidence of this in the Georgia Senate race.

It is possible that Republican candidate Herschel Walker’s support is five points higher than what is being reported.

 



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